Markets suggest João Cotrim de Figueiredo winning more than 20% of votes in the first round is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 18.05% to 15.8% in 24 hours. This sharp shif…
Prediction markets suggest the PLN party’s chances of winning the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican election are decreasing. The ‘No’ outcome rose sharply from 29.00% to 37.50% in 24 hours,…
Markets suggest United Russia gaining the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 25.9% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This …
Markets suggest United Russia winning 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 60.98% to 68%. This shift appears to follo…
Markets suggest a CDU win in the 2026 Berlin state elections is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 49.1% to 55%. This shift follows a week-long decline and coincides with seve…
Prediction markets are indicating that Luís Marques Mendes’s position as the favorite in the Portugal Presidential Election is becoming significantly more secure. The probability of him *not* being…
Prediction markets suggest the probability of Republican odds for the 2026 U.S. House election exceeding 30% by March 31st is becoming MORE likely. This is reflected in the ‘No’ outcome falling fro…
Markets suggest António José Seguro’s victory in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from …
Markets suggest Hezbollah winning the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 86.4% to 79% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win in the 2026 Thai legislative election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 67.8% to 74% in 24 hours. This shift follows r…