Briefing: Sharp reversal: Phan Văn Giang’s presidential odds flip in 24 hours

Markets suggest Phan Văn Giang’s presidency in Vietnam is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 23.9% to 24.5%. This shift follows the conclusion of Vietnam’s 14th National Congr…

Briefing: Market Prices in Higher GOP House Odds for 2026 Amid State-Level Political Maneuvering

Prediction markets suggest the probability of Republican odds for the 2026 U.S. House election exceeding 30% by March 31st is becoming MORE likely. This is reflected in the ‘No’ outcome falling fro…

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Mills’ Chances in Maine Dem Senate Primary

Markets suggest Mills flipping Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 79.7% to 74.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a significant r…