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Category: Primaries

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Schoemann’s Wisconsin Gov Primary Chances

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Josh Schoemann’s chances of winning the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome dropping from 37.7% to 30.5% in 24 hours…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Demings’ Florida Governor Nomination Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Jerry Demings’ nomination as the Democratic candidate for Florida Governor is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 41.11% to 29.45% in 24 hours.

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Jerry Demings’ Florida Governor Nomination Odds

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Jerry Demings’ nomination as the Democratic candidate for Florida Governor is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 41.11% to 29.45% in 24 hours.

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Baldacci ME-02 Dem Nominee Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 29, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Joe Baldacci’s Democratic nomination for ME-02 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 76.68% to 70.5%. This shift follows a week-long trend where the ‘No’ side …

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Odds for Non-Democrat in CA Gov Primary Decline

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a significant shift in the California gubernatorial primary, with a sharp reversal indicating a reduced likelihood of a non-Democratic candidate advancing to the general election.

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Sharp Reversal in CA Gov Primary: Are Two Democrats Now More Likely?

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a significant shift in the California gubernatorial primary, with a sharp reversal indicating a reduced likelihood of a non-Democratic candidate advancing to the general election.

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Odds against Kimbrell surge in SC primary

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant shift in sentiment regarding Josh Kimbrell’s prospects in the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary. The ‘No’ outcome, indicating Kimbrell might n…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Chuck Gray’s Wyoming Governor Primary Odds See Slight Increase Amid 2026 Strategy Shifts

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a slight but consistent upturn in the perceived odds for Chuck Gray to win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election. The ‘No’ outcome for Gray’s victory has …

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Neil Khot’s IL-08 Primary Odds Defy Week-Long Trend with Sudden Shift

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a potential shift in sentiment for Neil Khot’s chances to become the Democratic nominee for IL-08, with his ‘Yes’ positions rising by 3.26% in the last 24 hours to 40%. T…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Illinois, Primaries and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Will Neil Khot be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a potential shift in sentiment for Neil Khot’s chances to become the Democratic nominee for IL-08, with his ‘Yes’ positions rising by 3.26% in the last 24 hours to 40%. T…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Illinois, Primaries and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.
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