Markets suggest André Ventura’s victory in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 59.45% to 56% in 24 hours. This shift…
Markets suggest Luís Marques Mendes qualifying for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 12.5% to 35.5%.
Markets suggest a Democratic Party win in the NV-04 House seat is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 52.15% to 47%. This shift appears to follow recent election news, poten…
Markets suggest Luís Marques Mendes winning more than 26% of votes in the first round is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 7.05% to 14%. This shift follows a direct appeal fr…
Prediction markets suggest Tom Willis’s chances of securing the Republican Senate nomination in West Virginia are becoming significantly LESS likely. The probability (‘Yes’ outcome) collapsed from …
Markets suggest turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election being at least 50% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 93.3% to 85.0%. This shift fo…
Markets suggest Micah Lasher’s democratic nomination for NY-12 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 33.99% to 48%. This shift follows news of former Rep. Carolyn Maloney cons…
Markets suggest Ted Dabrowski’s victory in the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 46.8% to 50.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a …
Markets suggest Tom Malinowski’s nomination for the NJ-11 special election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 23.96% to 29.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows fresh news rega…
Markets suggest a Democratic Party win in the NJ-05 House seat is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 41.3% to 53.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a significant reve…