Markets suggest United Russia gaining the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 25.9% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This …
Markets suggest United Russia winning 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 60.98% to 68%. This shift appears to follo…
Markets suggest a Democratic Party win in the FL-13 House seat is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 53.2% to 21% in 24 hours. This shift follows fresh polling data s…
Markets suggest Marsha Blackburn’s win in the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising by 0.21% in the last 24 hours to 29.5%. This …
Markets suggest the number of Democratic House members retiring in 2026 between 20 and 23 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 45.15% to 17.5%. This shift follows a …
Markets suggest Khamenei’s potential ousting by January 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 8.22% to 13.45%. This shift follows renewed reports of widespread protests and…
Markets suggest a CDU win in the 2026 Berlin state elections is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 49.1% to 55%. This shift follows a week-long decline and coincides with seve…
Prediction markets are indicating that Luís Marques Mendes’s position as the favorite in the Portugal Presidential Election is becoming significantly more secure. The probability of him *not* being…
Prediction markets suggest the probability of Republican odds for the 2026 U.S. House election exceeding 30% by March 31st is becoming MORE likely. This is reflected in the ‘No’ outcome falling fro…
Markets suggest Mark Teixeira’s TX-21 Republican nomination is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 47.8% to 50.5% in the last 24 hours. This shift follows recent news regarding …