Markets suggest Jocelyn Benson’s 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary win is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 69.2% to 71% in 24 hours. This shift follows…
Markets suggest a U.S. government funding lapse is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 47.9% to 57% in the last 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a short-term…
Prediction markets suggest Jared Moskowitz is becoming a stronger favorite for the Democratic Senate nomination in Florida. The probability that he will *not* be the nominee has fallen sharply from…
Markets suggest David Jones’s primary advancement is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 0.05% to 38.85%. This shift follows a period of related news context surrounding the M…
Markets suggest John Cornyn coming in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 63.6% to 58.5%. This shift follows recent news regardin…
Markets suggest Bill Cassidy’s Republican Senate nomination in Louisiana is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from approximately 38.4% to 36% in the last 24 hours.
Markets suggest Luís Marques Mendes winning 3rd place in the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 9.2% to 15.0%. This shift follows recent…
Markets suggest João Cotrim Figueiredo winning 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 12.76% to 22%.
Markets suggest Trump acquiring Greenland before 2027 (odds hitting 30%) is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 73.6% to 81.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows increasing geopoli…
Markets suggest Daniel Cameron becoming the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 6.8% to 34.15% in 24 hours. This shift follows rec…