Markets suggest a 25bps cut by the Fed by Feb 28 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 43.76% to 49.5%.
Markets suggest Donavan McKinney’s MI-13 Democratic nomination is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 37.4% to 40.5%. This shift follows a notable reversal from its week-long d…
Markets suggest Khamenei’s removal by February is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 10.86% to 12.5% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a significant increase in reports regardin…
Markets suggest Rob Sand’s win in the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 79.7% to 74.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows new …
Markets suggest a turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election between 52% and 54% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 29.2% to 21.5%. This shif…
Markets suggest Angie Craig’s Democratic nomination for Senate in Minnesota is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 43.81% to 73.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a flur…
Markets suggest Phan Văn Giang’s presidency in Vietnam is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 23.9% to 24.5%. This shift follows the conclusion of Vietnam’s 14th National Congr…
Markets suggest an LDP majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome increasing from 46.26% to 52.5% (+6.24%) in 24 hours. This shift follows the sudden…
Markets suggest SPD winning the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 1.7% to 39% in 24 hours. This signif…
Markets suggest Burt Jones’s 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary win is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 37.7% to 33%.