Markets suggest an Iran strike is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 94.69% to 84.5%.
This shift follows a series of escalating reports regarding US military posture and Iran…
Markets suggest Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Fed Chair and rates staying above 2.5% in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 81.91% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest that a significant crypto event (such as an all-time high for Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Solana, or a US national Bitcoin reserve) is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome (meanin…
Markets suggest the occurrence of major global events in 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 66.5% to 58.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a moderation in ge…
Markets suggest a ‘Nothing Ever Happens’ outcome for MicroStrategy is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 69.7% to 73.5%. This shift follows MicroStrategy’s significant Bitcoin…
Markets suggest Khamenei remaining in power is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 54.5% to 57.5%. This shift follows intense reports of ongoing protests in Iran and government…
Markets suggest a US strike is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 50.8% to 77% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of escalating threats and reports of potential U…
Markets suggest Google Gemini’s success in meeting its parlay conditions is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 67.9% to 69.5% in the last 24 hours. This shift fol…
Markets suggest that *something happening in Israel* is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome (meaning ‘nothing happens’) falling from approximately 73% to 67% in 24 hours.