Markets suggest a Trump-Greenland deal is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 74.1% to 68.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a period of mixed signals around the ‘deal frame…
Markets suggest a Trump-Greenland deal is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 16.8% to 31%. This shift follows a flurry of high-level diplomatic activity and public statements …
Markets suggest an EU/NATO country announcing a peacekeeping force in Ukraine is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 67.16% to 60.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent disc…