Markets suggest Trump deploying active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 21.8% to 12.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent statemen…
Markets suggest an Iran strike is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 94.69% to 84.5%.
This shift follows a series of escalating reports regarding US military posture and Iran…
Markets suggest a US strike is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 50.8% to 77% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of escalating threats and reports of potential U…
Markets suggest Russia’s capture of Prymorske is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 34.3% to 39.5%. This shift follows recent reports of Russian advances in the specified area.
Markets suggest Russia capturing all of Stepnohirsk is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 42.0% to 33.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows related context regarding risks for …
Markets suggest Thailand striking Cambodia is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 91.3% to 81.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows escalating border tensions and accusations of a…
Prediction markets are pricing in a near-certainty of a Saudi strike on Yemen, with the probability surging from 57.5% to 93.1% in just 24 hours. This dramatic shift follows reports of a Saudi dele…
Markets suggest Israel striking 2 countries in December 2025 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 0.42% to 3.25% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of recent reports on…