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Category: Middle East

Briefing: Israel-Iran Tensions Rise: Strike Odds Defy Week-Long Trend with Sudden Shift

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran by January 31, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 12.96% to 13.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of …

This entry was posted in Gaza, Geopolitics, Iran, Israel, Middle East and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: US Strike on Iran: Odds Rebound Sharply, Defying Week-Long Trend

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a US strike on Iran by June 30, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 10% to 21% in 24 hours. This shift follows renewed tensions in the Middle East and …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Iran, Middle East, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Iraq Recognition Odds Flip: Market Defies Week-Long Trend

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in sentiment regarding Iraq’s potential recognition of Israel by June 30, with the ‘Yes’ outcome experiencing a sharp decline over the last 24 hours, defy…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Israel, Middle East, Syria, Yemen and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Iraq’s Recognition of Israel

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in sentiment regarding Iraq’s potential recognition of Israel by June 30, with the ‘Yes’ outcome experiencing a sharp decline over the last 24 hours, defy…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Israel, Middle East, Syria, Yemen and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.
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