Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 27.8% to 53.5%. This shift follows escalating reports of US strategic movements and Iranian war…
Markets suggest Khamenei’s exit as Supreme Leader by March 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 26.9% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows widespread protests in Ir…
Prediction markets are pricing in a near-certainty of a Saudi strike on Yemen, with the probability surging from 57.5% to 93.1% in just 24 hours. This dramatic shift follows reports of a Saudi dele…
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Lebanon on January 7, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 58.17% to 65% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of diplomati…
Markets suggest Israel striking Gaza on January 3, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 46.5% to 18.5% over the past 7 days. This shift follows a week of bearish sen…
Markets suggest Israel striking Iran by June 30, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 46.5% to 44.5%. This shift follows recent reports of high-level discussions regar…
Markets suggest Israel striking 2 countries in December 2025 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 0.42% to 3.25% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of recent reports on…
Markets suggest that *something happening in Israel* is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome (meaning ‘nothing happens’) falling from approximately 73% to 67% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest the fall of the Iranian regime by June 30 is becoming slightly less likely in the last 24 hours, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 81.3% to 81.5%. This mino…
Markets suggest a US strike on Syria by December 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 0.8% to 3.0% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow increased US military activity…