Markets suggest Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Fed Chair and rates staying above 2.5% in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 81.91% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest the Fed’s lower bound reaching 2.5% or lower before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 44.81% to 41%. This shift appears to follow the release of the …
Markets suggest China’s monthly inflation increasing by 0.2% in December is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from 7.14% to 26.5% in the last 24 hours. This sharp shift fo…
Markets suggest Canada’s annual inflation increasing by ≥2.4% in December is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 44.1% to 24.5%. This shift follows new economic outloo…
Markets suggest the U.K.’s monthly inflation being 0.0% in December is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 37.4% to 17%.
Markets suggest the UK’s September–November 2025 unemployment rate being 5.0% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 51% to 75%. This shift follows recent economic repor…
Markets suggest the Eurozone’s monthly inflation being ≤-0.2% in December is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from approximately 33.05% to 7.5% in 24 hours. This shift f…
Markets suggest Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 between 0.0% and 0.5% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from approximately 46% to 15% in 24 hours. This shift follows rece…
Markets suggest the U.K.’s November 2025 unemployment rate being 5.2% is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from 13.36% to 47% in the last 24 hours. This significant shift …
↘ï¸ Market Shift detected. 24h movement: 0.3%. Signal quality: 5/9.