Markets suggest a Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 93.45% to 85.5%.
Markets suggest an Israel major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31st is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 14.54% to 20.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows persistent re…
Markets suggest Israel striking Greater Beirut is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 64.55% to 58% in 24 hours. This shift follows a period of intense cross-border strikes an…
Markets suggest Hezbollah winning the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 86.4% to 79% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Lebanon on January 7, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 58.17% to 65% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of diplomati…
Markets suggest that *something happening in Israel* is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome (meaning ‘nothing happens’) falling from approximately 73% to 67% in 24 hours.