Markets suggest Israel striking Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 68.4% to 74.5% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a day of increased geopolitical tensions and related n…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Yemen is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 45.94% to 65%. This shift follows a series of reports detailing the significant impact o…
Markets suggest the Iranian regime fall is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 64.53% to 73.75%. This shift follows recent reports of potential US military action fears and Iran…
Markets suggest an Israel/US target on an Iranian nuclear facility is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 30.9% to 25.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a US or Israeli strike on Iran by January 12, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.7% to 27.5%.
Markets suggest an Israel major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31st is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 14.54% to 20.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows persistent re…
Markets suggest Israel striking Greater Beirut is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 64.55% to 58% in 24 hours. This shift follows a period of intense cross-border strikes an…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Iraq is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 12.64% to 18% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-long downtrend and appears to coincide with…
Markets suggest Israel striking more than one country in January 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome (implying a strike on >1 country) declining from 62.73% to 54%.
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 27.8% to 53.5%. This shift follows escalating reports of US strategic movements and Iranian war…