Prediction markets suggest a US strike on Iran by January 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome (representing a US strike) falling sharply from 69.4% to 57.0% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest Khamenei’s exit from power is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 68.8% to 44.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of reports detailing escalati…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 81.8% to 86% in 24 hours, reversing a slight 7-day decline where ‘No’ fell by 0.43%. This shift f…
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Israel’ outcome rising from 23.51% to 24.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-long downtrend and coincides with esc…
Markets suggest a US cyberattack on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 41.1% to 48.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of recent statements from President Trum…
Markets suggest an Iran-initiated strike on Israel by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 61.9% to 62.5% in the last 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a week-…
Markets suggest Israel striking Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 68.4% to 74.5% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a day of increased geopolitical tensions and related n…
Markets suggest the L.A. U-Haul attack perp being a U.S. Citizen is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 83.91% to 67.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows related news co…
Markets suggest the Iranian regime fall is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 64.53% to 73.75%. This shift follows recent reports of potential US military action fears and Iran…
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 23.66% to 25.5%. This shift follows a week-long decline and coincides with fresh reports of intensifi…