Markets suggest Khamenei’s removal by February is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 10.86% to 12.5% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a significant increase in reports regardin…
Markets suggest an Iran strike is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 94.69% to 84.5%.
This shift follows a series of escalating reports regarding US military posture and Iran…
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘US Strikes Iran’ outcome falling from 28.6% to 22.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows reports of the US and Israel weighing str…
Markets suggest a US strike in Somalia is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 65.0% to 72%. This shift follows recent reports related to US foreign policy and potential aggress…
Markets suggest Iranian regime survival is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 59.0% to 55.5%.
This shift follows a period of heightened tensions and diplomatic efforts to de-…
Markets suggest Trump invoking War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 33.65% to 42.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent g…
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 29.57% to 65%. This sharp shift follows a series of recent developments suggesting de-escalation of im…
Markets suggest a US-Iran nuclear deal is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 65.7% to 73%. This shift follows escalating rhetoric and reports of potential US military action ag…
Markets suggest an Iran strike on Qatar by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 21.6% to 17% in 24 hours. This shift follows a period of heightened region…
Markets suggest an Iran strike on US military is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 44.3% to 26.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows multiple reports hinting at de-esca…