Markets suggest China joining the Board of Peace is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 41.32% to 44.0%. This shift follows mixed signals from global powers and China’s non-com…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 81.8% to 86% in 24 hours, reversing a slight 7-day decline where ‘No’ fell by 0.43%. This shift f…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Iraq is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 12.64% to 18% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-long downtrend and appears to coincide with…
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 27.8% to 53.5%. This shift follows escalating reports of US strategic movements and Iranian war…
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Lebanon on January 7, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 58.17% to 65% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of diplomati…
Markets suggest Israel striking Gaza on January 3, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 46.5% to 18.5% over the past 7 days. This shift follows a week of bearish sen…
Markets suggest Israel striking Iran by June 30, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 46.5% to 44.5%. This shift follows recent reports of high-level discussions regar…
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran by January 31, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 12.96% to 13.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of …