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Category: Foreign Policy

Briefing: Sharp reversal: China’s ‘Board of Peace’ odds defy week-long trend

Posted on January 22, 2026 by Writer

Markets suggest China joining the Board of Peace is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 41.32% to 44.0%. This shift follows mixed signals from global powers and China’s non-com…

This entry was posted in China, Davos, Foreign Policy, Gaza, Geopolitics, Israel, Russia, Trump and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: US-Mexico strike odds flip in 24 hours

Posted on January 9, 2026 by Writer

Markets suggest a US strike on Mexico by December 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 54.17% to 48% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent statements from Donald Trump re…

This entry was posted in Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Somaliland Recognition Odds Defy Week-Long Trend With Sudden Shift

Posted on January 1, 2026 by Writer

Markets suggest another country recognizing Somaliland is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 17.75% to 20.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows related news regarding Israel’s re…

This entry was posted in Foreign Policy, Geopolitics and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Trump’s Somaliland Recognition Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump recognizing Somaliland before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from approximately 25.1% to 24%. This shift follows reports of global outcry after I…

This entry was posted in Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Trump’s Somaliland Recognition

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump recognizing Somaliland before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from approximately 25.1% to 24%. This shift follows reports of global outcry after I…

This entry was posted in Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

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