Markets suggest SoFi Technologies’ S&P 500 inclusion is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 62.8% to 64.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows a retail poll indicating strong intere…
Prediction markets suggest Alphabet becoming the world’s second-largest company by Jan 31 is now seen as significantly more likely. The probability of this *not* happening (the ‘No’ outcome) has cr…
Markets suggest Amazon (AMZN) being the top performing Magnificent 7 company is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 63.9% to 60.5%. This shift follows recent discussions aroun…
Markets suggest two Fed dissents are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 43.2% to 60% in 24 hours. This shift appears to challenge the previous week’s slight decline, su…
Prediction markets indicate a Trump nominee for Federal Reserve Chair on January 20, 2026, is becoming increasingly unlikely. The ‘No’ outcome has surged from 50% to 87.5% over the past week, thoug…
Markets suggest Robinhood self-certifying a sports event contract by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 61.5% to 49.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to f…
Markets suggest Donald Trump announcing a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 20.83% to 11.55% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a Perplexity AI acquisition before 2027 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 55.13% to 50.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent public statements from P…
Markets suggest the S&P 500 having the best performance for the week of December 29 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 28.98% to 48.35%. This shift follows a BEAR_TO_BULL_…
Markets suggest Alphabet (GOOGL) being the top performing Magnificent 7 company for the week of December 29 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 29.1% to 31.5%. This shift fo…