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Category: Economy

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing Q1 2026 US GDP growth

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in sentiment regarding US GDP growth for Q1 2026. The probability of GDP growth being less than 1.0% appears to have increased, as the ‘No’ outcome (GDP w…

This entry was posted in Business, Economic Policy, Economy, Macro Indicators and tagged Market Shift, Priority: HIGH. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Fed rate cut odds defy week-long decline with sudden 24-hour surge

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a subtle shift in sentiment regarding a Fed rate cut by the January 2026 meeting. Despite a week-long decline, the ‘Yes’ side for a rate cut has seen a notable rebound in…

This entry was posted in Economic Policy, Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Finance, Jerome Powell and tagged Market Shift, Priority: HIGH. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Behind the sudden shift in Fed rate cut expectations by January 2026

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a subtle shift in sentiment regarding a Fed rate cut by the January 2026 meeting. Despite a week-long decline, the ‘Yes’ side for a rate cut has seen a notable rebound in…

This entry was posted in Economic Policy, Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Finance, Jerome Powell and tagged Market Shift, Priority: HIGH. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing December 27 TSA Passenger Numbers Amid Holiday Tra…

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in expectations regarding total TSA passenger numbers for December 27, with the ‘Yes’ position for the 2,750,000 to 3,000,000 range reversing a week-long …

This entry was posted in Christmas, Economy, Geopolitics, Pop Culture, Tsa, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: TSA Market Defies Week-Long Decline with Sudden Reversal on Holiday Travel Forecast

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in expectations regarding total TSA passenger numbers for December 27, with the ‘Yes’ position for the 2,750,000 to 3,000,000 range reversing a week-long …

This entry was posted in Christmas, Economy, Geopolitics, Pop Culture, Tsa, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing December 27 TSA Passenger Numbers Amid Holiday Tra…

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in expectations regarding total TSA passenger numbers for December 27, with the ‘Yes’ position for the 2,750,000 to 3,000,000 range reversing a week-long …

This entry was posted in Christmas, Economy, Geopolitics, Pop Culture, Tsa, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: TSA Market Defies Week-Long Decline with Sudden Reversal on Holiday Travel Forecast

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in expectations regarding total TSA passenger numbers for December 27, with the ‘Yes’ position for the 2,750,000 to 3,000,000 range reversing a week-long …

This entry was posted in Christmas, Economy, Geopolitics, Pop Culture, Tsa, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: TSA Passenger Market Defies Week-Long Trend with Sudden Shift

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

The prediction market for TSA passengers on December 28th suggests a slight increase in sentiment towards higher passenger numbers, despite a week-long downtrend for the ‘No’ outcome (meaning more …

This entry was posted in Economy, Geopolitics, Pop Culture, World and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Alphabet defies week-long trend with sudden market cap surge

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest increasing belief that Alphabet could become the world’s second-largest company by market capitalization by March 31, reversing a week-long negative trend. The ‘Yes’ outc…

This entry was posted in Big Tech, Business, Economy, Finance, Monthly and tagged Market Shift, Priority: HIGH. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing Alphabet’s market cap potential

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest increasing belief that Alphabet could become the world’s second-largest company by market capitalization by March 31, reversing a week-long negative trend. The ‘Yes’ outc…

This entry was posted in Big Tech, Business, Economy, Finance, Monthly and tagged Market Shift, Priority: HIGH. Bookmark the permalink.
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