Markets suggest two Fed dissents are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 43.2% to 60% in 24 hours. This shift appears to challenge the previous week’s slight decline, su…
Prediction markets indicate a Trump nominee for Federal Reserve Chair on January 20, 2026, is becoming increasingly unlikely. The ‘No’ outcome has surged from 50% to 87.5% over the past week, thoug…
Markets suggest Donald Trump announcing a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 20.83% to 11.55% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest the Fed’s lower bound reaching 2.5% or lower before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 44.81% to 41%. This shift appears to follow the release of the …
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 – January 4 being less than 17,500,000 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 66.7% to 52.5% in 24 ho…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 – January 4 being less than 17,500,000 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 66.7% to 52.5% in 24 ho…
Markets suggest China’s monthly inflation increasing by 0.2% in December is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from 7.14% to 26.5% in the last 24 hours. This sharp shift fo…
Markets suggest Canada’s annual inflation increasing by ≥2.4% in December is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 44.1% to 24.5%. This shift follows new economic outloo…
Markets suggest the U.K.’s monthly inflation being 0.0% in December is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 37.4% to 17%.
Markets suggest the UK’s September–November 2025 unemployment rate being 5.0% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 51% to 75%. This shift follows recent economic repor…