Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘US Strikes Iran’ outcome falling from 28.6% to 22.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows reports of the US and Israel weighing str…
Markets suggest Trump’s Greenland tariffs going into effect by Feb 1 are becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 64.7% to 59.5%. This shift follows recent aggressive statements fro…
Markets suggest a Trump Fed Chair nominee securing 50 ‘Yea’ votes is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.6% to 25%.
Markets suggest Trump’s Greenland Tariffs for Norway are becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 34% to 41% in 24 hours. This shift follows a flurry of news regarding the ongoing d…
Markets suggest the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 being less than 0% is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 23% to 28%. This shift follows a week-long downtrend, indicating a short-term r…
Markets suggest a Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from 40.6% to 66%. This shift follows continued speculation and recent reports fr…
Prediction markets suggest that January 20 TSA passenger numbers are becoming much MORE likely to exceed 2,300,000. This follows a dramatic reversal where the ‘Yes’ outcome (for numbers being *less…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 being between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 15.94% to 31% in th…
Markets suggest a Trump ban on institutional investor single-family home purchases is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 46.1% to 56% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a Trump-Powell meeting by January 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 28.9% to 17.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows escalating tensions b…