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Category: Fed

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Fed dissent odds flip in 24 hours

Posted on January 5, 2026 by Writer

Markets suggest two Fed dissents are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 43.2% to 60% in 24 hours. This shift appears to challenge the previous week’s slight decline, su…

This entry was posted in Economic Policy, Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Geopolitics, Jerome Powell and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Momentum Slows on Trump Fed Chair Bet as Odds Against Jan 20 Announcement Hit 87.5%

Posted on January 4, 2026 by Writer

Prediction markets indicate a Trump nominee for Federal Reserve Chair on January 20, 2026, is becoming increasingly unlikely. The ‘No’ outcome has surged from 50% to 87.5% over the past week, thoug…

This entry was posted in Economy, Fed, Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Trump Fed nominee odds flip in 24 hours

Posted on January 4, 2026 by Writer

Markets suggest Donald Trump announcing a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 20.83% to 11.55% in 24 hours.

This entry was posted in Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Fed lower bound odds flip in 24 hours

Posted on December 31, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest the Fed’s lower bound reaching 2.5% or lower before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 44.81% to 41%. This shift appears to follow the release of the …

This entry was posted in Economic Policy, Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Geopolitics, Jerome Powell, Macro Indicators and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Fed rate cut odds defy week-long decline with sudden 24-hour surge

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a subtle shift in sentiment regarding a Fed rate cut by the January 2026 meeting. Despite a week-long decline, the ‘Yes’ side for a rate cut has seen a notable rebound in…

This entry was posted in Economic Policy, Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Finance, Jerome Powell and tagged Market Shift, Priority: HIGH. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Behind the sudden shift in Fed rate cut expectations by January 2026

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a subtle shift in sentiment regarding a Fed rate cut by the January 2026 meeting. Despite a week-long decline, the ‘Yes’ side for a rate cut has seen a notable rebound in…

This entry was posted in Economic Policy, Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Finance, Jerome Powell and tagged Market Shift, Priority: HIGH. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Posted on December 22, 2025 by Writer

↘️ Sentiment Drift detected. 24h movement: 0.3%. Signal quality: 9/9.

This entry was posted in Economic Policy, Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Finance, Jerome Powell and tagged Priority: HIGH, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Posted on December 22, 2025 by Writer

↘️ Sentiment Drift detected. 24h movement: 0.3%. Signal quality: 9/9.

This entry was posted in Economic Policy, Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Finance, Jerome Powell and tagged Priority: HIGH, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Posted on December 21, 2025 by Writer

↘️ Market Shift detected. 24h movement: 0.1%. Signal quality: 7/9.

This entry was posted in Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Finance, Jerome Powell, Treasuries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: HIGH. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Posted on December 21, 2025 by Writer

↘️ Market Shift detected. 24h movement: 0.1%. Signal quality: 7/9.

This entry was posted in Economy, Fed, Fed Rates, Finance, Jerome Powell, Treasuries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: HIGH. Bookmark the permalink.
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