Markets suggest a 25bps cut by the Fed by Feb 28 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 43.76% to 49.5%.
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 26 being less than 2,200,000 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 69.8% to 60%. This shift appears to follow…
Markets suggest Alphabet becoming the second-largest company by market cap is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 88.3% to 80.5%. This shift follows a notable bull-to-bear c…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 23 being between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 24.3% to 53.5%. This shift appea…
Prediction markets are aggressively pricing out the possibility of the DOW Jones reaching 50,000 by January 2026. The probability for the ‘Yes’ outcome has collapsed from 13.5% to just 3.5% in the …
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 27 being less than 2,100,000 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 93.6% to 88.5%. This shift follows a strong …
Prediction markets indicate that Venezuelan crude oil production reaching 1.1m barrels per day in 2026 is becoming significantly LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome plummeting from 52.6% to 42.5% i…
Prediction markets suggest the likelihood of Nancy Pelosi’s stock index outperforming the S&P 500 in January is becoming significantly LESS likely. The ‘Pelosi’ outcome crashed from an implied prob…
Markets suggest Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Fed Chair and rates staying above 2.5% in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 81.91% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a January 2026 FOMC decision with no change and less than 2 dissents is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 56.9% to 51.5% in 24 hours. This shift follo…