Markets suggest Trump dropping the Powell investigation is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 25.18% to 30.5%. This shift follows a day of intense news coverage highlighting b…
Markets suggest the 10-year Treasury yield hitting 4.3% by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 51.3% to 53.5%. This shift follows a series of news reports concernin…
Markets suggest Jerome Powell’s exit from the Fed Board is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 82.8% to 73.5%. This shift follows intense news surrounding a criminal investiga…
Markets suggest a Russian strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 78.2% to 65.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow rec…
Markets suggest a Trump administration release of Epstein related files by January 17 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 35.92% to 27.00%. This shift follows a sharp rever…
Markets suggest an EU/NATO country announcing a peacekeeping force in Ukraine is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 67.16% to 60.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent disc…
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 27.8% to 53.5%. This shift follows escalating reports of US strategic movements and Iranian war…
Markets suggest a U.S. Congress member leaving office due to Epstein files is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 18.5% to 21% in 24 hours. This shift follows increased activit…
Markets suggest two Fed dissents are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 43.2% to 60% in 24 hours. This shift appears to challenge the previous week’s slight decline, su…
Markets suggest a Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome accelerating from 61.18% to 93.15% in 24 hours. This dramatic shift follows…