Markets suggest a 25bps cut by the Fed by Feb 28 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 43.76% to 49.5%.
Markets suggest Bill Clinton being charged by March 31 could be becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 7% to 11% in 24 hours. This shift follows new reports regarding a House pane…
Markets suggest Bill or Hillary Clinton being held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 31.9% to 43.5%. This shift appears to defy recent new…
Markets suggest a Russian strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 33.37% to 41.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of Rus…
Markets suggest Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Fed Chair and rates staying above 2.5% in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 81.91% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a January 2026 FOMC decision with no change and less than 2 dissents is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 56.9% to 51.5% in 24 hours. This shift follo…
Markets suggest the Fed target funds rate reaching 3.0% by the end of 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 27.29% to 21.5%.
Markets suggest an Epstein Data Set 9 release before March is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 46.4% to 35%.
Markets suggest a Trump administration release of Epstein-related files is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 32.3% to 20.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a signif…
Markets suggest a Trump-Powell meeting by January 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 28.9% to 17.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows escalating tensions b…