Markets suggest SoFi Technologies’ S&P 500 inclusion is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 62.8% to 64.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows a retail poll indicating strong intere…
Prediction markets suggest Alphabet becoming the world’s second-largest company by Jan 31 is now seen as significantly more likely. The probability of this *not* happening (the ‘No’ outcome) has cr…
Markets suggest Amazon (AMZN) being the top performing Magnificent 7 company is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 63.9% to 60.5%. This shift follows recent discussions aroun…
Markets suggest Apple releasing a new product line before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 80.1% to 67.5%. This shift follows recent reports of product delays and p…
Markets suggest Tesla delivering between 400,000 and 425,000 vehicles in Q1 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.8% to 20.8%.
Markets suggest Robinhood self-certifying a sports event contract by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 61.5% to 49.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to f…
Markets suggest a Perplexity AI acquisition before 2027 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 55.13% to 50.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent public statements from P…
Markets suggest Alphabet (GOOGL) being the top performing Magnificent 7 company for the week of December 29 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 29.1% to 31.5%. This shift fo…
Markets suggest Google Gemini’s success in meeting its parlay conditions is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 67.9% to 69.5% in the last 24 hours. This shift fol…
Markets suggest Paramount closing Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 28.5% to 16% in the last 7 days, with a sharp drop in the la…