Markets suggest turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election being less than 55% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 82.47% to 87.65%. This shift …
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Lebanon on January 7, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 58.17% to 65% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of diplomati…
Markets suggest a Ukraine peace referendum by June 30 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 71.7% to 61.5% (-10.2 percentage points) in 24 hours. This shift follows re…
Markets suggest MicroStrategy announcing 680k+ BTC holdings is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from approximately 71.7% to 67% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports co…
Markets suggest a Bangladesh Nationalist Party win is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 21.3% to 24%. This shift follows recent political developments concerning alliance nego…
Markets suggest Israel striking Gaza on January 3, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 46.5% to 18.5% over the past 7 days. This shift follows a week of bearish sen…
Prediction markets suggest a Democratic victory in the NJ-09 House seat is becoming significantly more likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 57.2% to 72.5% in just 24 hours. This move acceler…
Markets suggest the S&P 500 having the best performance for the week of December 29 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 28.98% to 48.35%. This shift follows a BEAR_TO_BULL_…
Markets suggest the Republican Party holding exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 24.2% to 21.5% in 24 hours. This s…
Markets suggest a U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from approximately 62.6% to 53.5%. This shift follows recent news reports detail…