Markets suggest a meeting between Trump and Delcy Rodríguez by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 6.43% to 37%. This shift follows intense recent activity around …
Prediction markets are indicating that Luís Marques Mendes’s position as the favorite in the Portugal Presidential Election is becoming significantly more secure. The probability of him *not* being…
Markets suggest Ali Khamenei’s removal before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome jumping sharply from 65.4% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest the probability of Republican odds for the 2026 U.S. House election exceeding 30% by March 31st is becoming MORE likely. This is reflected in the ‘No’ outcome falling fro…
Markets suggest Trove’s FDV exceeding $80M one day after launch is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 82.2% to 87.1%.
Markets suggest Delcy Rodrígu’s removal from power in Venezuela is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 40.6% to 46%. This shift follows the recent capture of Nicolás Maduro and…
Markets suggest Venezuela giving the US oil by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 75.0% to 70.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of US tanker sei…
Markets suggest an EU/NATO country announcing a peacekeeping force in Ukraine is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 67.16% to 60.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent disc…
Markets suggest Delcy Rodríguez becoming the leader of Venezuela by end of 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 60.3% to 51.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by January 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 16.2% to 42% in 24 hours. This shift represents a dramatic reversal of a w…