Markets suggest a US-Iran nuclear deal is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 65.7% to 73%. This shift follows escalating rhetoric and reports of potential US military action ag…
Markets suggest Trump acquiring Greenland before 2027 (odds hitting 30%) is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 73.6% to 81.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows increasing geopoli…
Markets suggest an Iran strike on Qatar by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 21.6% to 17% in 24 hours. This shift follows a period of heightened region…
Markets suggest Daniel Cameron becoming the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 6.8% to 34.15% in 24 hours. This shift follows rec…
Markets suggest a Trump and Machado handshake lasting 2-6 seconds is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 48.8% to 79.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows fresh reports of …
Markets suggest an Iran strike on US military is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 44.3% to 26.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows multiple reports hinting at de-esca…
Prediction markets suggest a US strike on Iran by January 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome (representing a US strike) falling sharply from 69.4% to 57.0% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest Khamenei’s exit from power is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 68.8% to 44.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of reports detailing escalati…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 81.8% to 86% in 24 hours, reversing a slight 7-day decline where ‘No’ fell by 0.43%. This shift f…
Prediction markets show the consensus for a U.S. oil ship seizure has collapsed, with the probability plummeting from 80% to 48.5% in the last seven days. This 31.5-point drop signals a dramatic re…