Prediction markets suggest a significant shift in sentiment regarding Jordyn Tyson’s prospects as the third pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. The ‘No’ outcome, indicating he will not be the third pick, has dropped by over 30% in the last 24 hours.

Asymmetry Analysis

The 7-day trend showed a slight increase of 3.03% for ‘No’ positions, but the last 24 hours saw a dramatic reversal, with ‘No’ dropping by 30.75%. This asymmetry suggests a sudden re-assessment of Tyson’s standing for the third overall pick. This could reflect new information arriving that changed sentiment, potentially related to the broader landscape of the 2026 WR class or other top prospects. The reversal began around the time of recent news snippets discussing his draft declaration and other top receivers.

Interpretation

This sentiment shift appears to reflect a market belief that while Jordyn Tyson is a strong prospect, his chances of being specifically the third pick might be lower than previously assumed. The declaration of his draft eligibility (NFL Rumors, 12 hours ago) could have prompted a deeper analysis of the entire draft pool, leading traders to consider other top-tier talents for that specific spot. The market might be factoring in the depth of the wide receiver class and other potential top picks, as highlighted in recent draft analysis.

Research Leads

  • Contact leading NFL Draft analysts: Are their updated mock drafts reflecting a shift in Tyson’s projection for the #3 spot, and what are the primary reasons for any changes?
  • Review scouting reports on other top 2026 WR prospects (e.g., Carnell Tate, Makai Lemon): How do they compare to Tyson in terms of early-round potential?
  • Interview NFL team scouts (anonymously if necessary): What are the key criteria for a top-3 pick, and which players currently best fit those criteria for 2026?
  • Examine historical data: How often do highly-touted WRs ultimately land in the top 3, especially when other strong talents are available?
  • Following the ‘Arizona State WR Jordyn Tyson Declares For Draft’ report, verify if any specific team needs or draft board changes are influencing this perception.

Context

NFL Draft markets, particularly for specific picks this far in advance, are highly fluid and react to early declarations, mock draft updates, and emerging talent. The ‘BULL_TO_BEAR_CRASH’ pattern seen here indicates a strong and rapid shift away from the previous bullish sentiment for Tyson to be the third pick.

Confidence & Caveats

The accuracy rate for early NFL Draft markets is typically around 45-55%, making them highly speculative. While the market signal is strong due to the large price movement, the extremely low open interest ($14.55) means small trades can disproportionately impact the price, introducing higher volatility and potential for noise. This signal could change significantly as more prospects declare, mock drafts evolve, and the 2026 NFL season approaches.

What Next

Market participants could watch for new mock draft releases, particularly those from influential analysts. Any strong performances from other top prospects in upcoming college games might also trigger further price adjustments. The market could continue to consolidate around the current level unless fresh, definitive information emerges.

Market Metadata

  • Market ID: 991979
  • Token ID: 53723943093056279041819253996998020230266045922710592575824435456641517493645
  • Quality Score: 7/9
  • Classification: Market Shift
  • 7-Day Trend: 0.03%
  • 24-Hour Trend: -0.31%
  • Current Price: $0.55
  • Volume (24h): $0
  • Open Interest: $15

Data sourced from Polymarket prediction markets. Analysis generated by PredSignal AI.